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Netherlands · KNVB Cup

20 Jan 2026 17:45 UTC

DE TREFFERS vs NEC NIJMEGEN

Final 1:2

NEC Nijmegen won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Basar Önal — NEC Nijmegen

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Willem den Dekker — De Treffers
  2. ⚽ Ahmetcan Kaplan — NEC Nijmegen

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Underdog
45%
1X2
De Treffers
90-minute result: NEC Nijmegen
Solid call
61%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
70%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
54%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
5:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 5 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 16% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 49 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 49 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 45% (Weak)
Total 4.5 47% (Average)
Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 4 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 50% (Average)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
36 predictions
Both teams to score 69% (Strong)
29 predictions
Total 1.5 90% (Strong)
40 predictions
Total 2.5 74% (Strong)
31 predictions
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
24 predictions
Total 4.5 33% (Weak)
9 predictions

Match overview