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Netherlands · KNVB Cup

15 Jan 2026 20:00 UTC

SPARTA ROTTERDAM vs FC VOLENDAM

Final 1:2

FC Volendam won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Brandley Kuwas — FC Volendam
  2. ⚽ Ayoni Santos — Sparta Rotterdam

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Robert Mühren — FC Volendam

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
FC Volendam
90-minute result: FC Volendam
Solid call
61%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
58%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:5

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 67% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-4; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 6 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 17% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 47 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 47 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 47% (Average)
Total 4.5 47% (Average)
Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 4 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 25% (Weak)
Both teams to score 25% (Weak)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 0% (Weak)
Total 3.5 25% (Weak)
Total 4.5 50% (Average)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
34 predictions
Both teams to score 68% (Strong)
28 predictions
Total 1.5 89% (Strong)
38 predictions
Total 2.5 72% (Strong)
29 predictions
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
23 predictions
Total 4.5 38% (Weak)
8 predictions

Match overview