← Back to matches

Netherlands · KNVB Cup

14 Jan 2026 19:00 UTC

GO AHEAD EAGLES vs HERACLES

Final 2:2

Draw

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Luka Kulenovic — Heracles
  2. ⚽ Milan Smit — Go Ahead Eagles

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ajdin Hrustic — Heracles
  2. ⚽ Mathis Suray — Go Ahead Eagles

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
26%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
35%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
35%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 23% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 13 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 16% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 43 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 43 completed matches.

1X2 8% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 44% (Weak)
Score 5% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 3 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 100% (Strong)
Total 1.5 100% (Strong)
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 33% (Weak)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 8% (Weak)
12 predictions
Both teams to score 65% (Strong)
26 predictions
Total 1.5 89% (Strong)
35 predictions
Total 2.5 27% (Weak)
15 predictions
Total 3.5 43% (Weak)
21 predictions
Total 4.5 47% (Average)
36 predictions

Match overview