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Peru · Primera Division · Primera Division Clausura

27 Jul 2026 00:00 UTC

DEPORTIVO GARCILASO vs FC CAJAMARCA

Final 2:1 Almanac Moment

Deportivo Garcilaso won Last goal: FC Cajamarca

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Christopher Olivares — Deportivo Garcilaso
  2. ⚽ Francisco Arancibia — Deportivo Garcilaso

2nd half

  1. 🟥 José Soto (straight red) — FC Cajamarca
  2. ⚽ Michel Rasmussen — FC Cajamarca

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Deportivo Garcilaso
90-minute result: Deportivo Garcilaso
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
16%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 55% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 107 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 347 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 423 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 63 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 16% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
300 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
204 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
294 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
179 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
343 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
397 predictions

Match overview