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Peru · Primera Division · Primera Division Clausura

26 Jul 2026 20:30 UTC

COMERCIANTES UNIDOS vs ALIANZA LIMA

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Alianza Lima

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Eryc Castillo — Alianza Lima
  2. ⚽ Matias Sen — Comerciantes Unidos

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Josuee Herrera — Comerciantes Unidos
  2. ⚽ Eryc Castillo — Alianza Lima

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
12%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 28% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 119 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 344 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 428 completed matches.

1X2 28% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 90 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 28% (Weak)
123 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
222 predictions
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
130 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
246 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
347 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
402 predictions

Match overview