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Peru · Primera Division · Primera Division Clausura

25 Jul 2026 15:30 UTC

SPORT BOYS vs ASOCIACION DEPORTIVA TARMA

Final 2:0

Sport Boys won Last goal: Sport Boys

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Erick Gonzales (straight red) — Sport Boys
  2. ⚽ Hansell Riojas (penalty) — Sport Boys
  3. ⚽ Yuriel Celi (penalty) — Sport Boys

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Asociacion Deportiva Tarma
90-minute result: Sport Boys
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 24% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 66 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 340 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 424 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 88 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
301 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
204 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
295 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
180 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
343 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
398 predictions

Match overview