← Back to matches

Peru · Primera Division · Primera Division Clausura

26 Jul 2026 01:00 UTC

FBC MELGAR vs SPORTING CRISTAL

Final 2:1

FBC Melgar won Last goal: Sporting Cristal

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Nicolás Quagliata — FBC Melgar

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jhonny Vidales (penalty) — FBC Melgar
  2. ⚽ Írven Ávila — Sporting Cristal

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
FBC Melgar
90-minute result: FBC Melgar
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
4:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 21 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 344 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 423 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 94 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
300 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
204 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
294 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
179 predictions
Total 3.5 33% (Weak)
80 predictions
Total 4.5 8% (Weak)
26 predictions

Match overview