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Peru · Primera Division · Primera Division Clausura

24 Jul 2026 20:00 UTC

ALIANZA ATLETICO vs LOS CHANKAS

Final 3:1

Alianza Atletico won Last goal: Los Chankas

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jorge del Castillo — Alianza Atletico

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Erick Perleche — Alianza Atletico
  2. ⚽ Guillermo Larios — Alianza Atletico
  3. ⚽ Jarlin Quintero — Los Chankas
  4. 🟥 Kelvin Sanchez (straight red) — Los Chankas

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Los Chankas
90-minute result: Alianza Atletico
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
0:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 0% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-4; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 1 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 339 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 423 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 88 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
300 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
219 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
294 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
179 predictions
Total 3.5 33% (Weak)
80 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
397 predictions

Match overview