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Poland · Ekstraklasa

26 Jul 2026 18:15 UTC

WISLA KRAKOW vs GKS KATOWICE

Final 2:1

Wisla Krakow won Last goal: GKS Katowice

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Marko Bozic (penalty) — Wisla Krakow
  2. ⚽ Jordi Sanchez — Wisla Krakow
  3. ⚽ Szymon Bartlewicz — GKS Katowice

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
GKS Katowice
90-minute result: Wisla Krakow
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 20% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 30 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 301 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 369 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 40 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
268 predictions
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
155 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
285 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
193 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
287 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
327 predictions

Match overview