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Poland · Ekstraklasa

24 Jul 2026 16:00 UTC

RADOMIAK RADOM vs WIECZYSTA KRAKOW

Final 2:1

Radomiak Radom won Last goal: Wieczysta Krakow

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Roberto Alves — Radomiak Radom

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jan Grzesik — Radomiak Radom
  2. ⚽ Stefan Feiertag — Wieczysta Krakow
  3. 🟥 Mikkel Maigaard (straight red) — Wieczysta Krakow

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Wieczysta Krakow
90-minute result: Radomiak Radom
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 63 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 296 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 364 completed matches.

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 40 past matches

1X2 23% (Weak)
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 36% (Weak)
263 predictions
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
151 predictions
Total 1.5 27% (Weak)
82 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
189 predictions
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
282 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
322 predictions

Match overview