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Poland · Ekstraklasa

26 Jul 2026 12:45 UTC

RAKOW CZESTOCHOWA vs WISLA PLOCK

Final 1:2

Wisla Plock won Last goal: Rakow Czestochowa

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Marcin Flis — Wisla Plock

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Zan Rogelj — Wisla Plock
  2. ⚽ Patryk Makuch (penalty) — Rakow Czestochowa

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
40%
1X2
Wisla Plock
90-minute result: Wisla Plock
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
15%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 65 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 301 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 369 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 72 past matches

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 15% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
268 predictions
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
155 predictions
Total 1.5 27% (Weak)
84 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
193 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
287 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
327 predictions

Match overview