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Kazakhstan · Premier League

26 Jul 2026 14:00 UTC

FC ASTANA vs ALTAI SEMEY

Final 4:1

FC Astana won Last goal: FC Astana

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Bauyrzhan Islamkhan — FC Astana
  2. ⚽ Ibragim Dadaev — Altai Semey
  3. ⚽ Marin Tomasov — FC Astana

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ramazan Karimov — FC Astana
  2. ⚽ Stanislav Basmanov — FC Astana

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
FC Astana
90-minute result: FC Astana
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
7%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 60% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 20 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 246 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 302 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 57 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
217 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
137 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
210 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
179 predictions
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
252 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
276 predictions

Match overview