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Kazakhstan · Premier League

25 Jul 2026 15:00 UTC

AKTOBE vs OKZHETPES KOKSHETAU

Final 2:1 Almanac Moment

Aktobe won Last goal: Okzhetpes Kokshetau

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jani Atanasov — Aktobe
  2. ⚽ Temirlan Erlanov — Aktobe
  3. ⚽ Shokhboz Umarov — Okzhetpes Kokshetau

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Ivan Kuzmichev (2nd yellow) — Okzhetpes Kokshetau

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Aktobe
90-minute result: Aktobe
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
13%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 55% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 88 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 243 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 299 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 78 past matches

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
215 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
163 predictions
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
208 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
121 predictions
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
250 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
273 predictions

Match overview