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Kazakhstan · Premier League

25 Jul 2026 13:00 UTC

ULYTAU vs IRTYSH PAVLODAR

Final 1:2

Irtysh Pavlodar won Last goal: Irtysh Pavlodar

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Marko Jevtic — Irtysh Pavlodar
  2. ⚽ David Martin — Ulytau
  3. ⚽ Jean-Morel Poe — Irtysh Pavlodar

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Ulytau
90-minute result: Irtysh Pavlodar
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
18%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 55% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 88 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 243 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 299 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 56 past matches

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 18% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
215 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
136 predictions
Total 1.5 31% (Weak)
91 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
178 predictions
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
250 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
273 predictions

Match overview