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Kazakhstan · Premier League

19 Jul 2026 16:00 UTC

ORDABASY SHYMKENT vs FC YELIMAY

Final 3:1

Ordabasy Shymkent won Last goal: Ordabasy Shymkent

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Bjørn Johnsen — Ordabasy Shymkent
  2. ⚽ Euloge Fessou — FC Yelimay
  3. ⚽ Guy-Marcelin Kilama — Ordabasy Shymkent

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Elkhan Astanov (penalty) — Ordabasy Shymkent

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Ordabasy Shymkent
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 82 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 241 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 297 completed matches.

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 75 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 34% (Weak)
82 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
135 predictions
Total 1.5 31% (Weak)
90 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
176 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
248 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
271 predictions

Match overview