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Russia · First League

26 Jul 2026 09:00 UTC

FC YENISEY KRASNOYARSK vs VELES MOSCOW

Final 4:1

FC Yenisey Krasnoyarsk won Last goal: FC Yenisey Krasnoyarsk

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Andrey Okladnikov (penalty) — FC Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
  2. ⚽ Andrey Okladnikov (penalty) — FC Yenisey Krasnoyarsk

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Aleksandr Nadolskiy — FC Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
  2. ⚽ Zakhar Tarasenko — Veles Moscow
  3. ⚽ A. Lomakin — FC Yenisey Krasnoyarsk

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: FC Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
9%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 136 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 329 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 386 completed matches.

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 45 past matches

1X2 53% (Average)
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
Total 1.5 49% (Average)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 34% (Weak)
136 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
220 predictions
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
275 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
237 predictions
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
319 predictions
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
362 predictions

Match overview