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Russia · First League

25 Jul 2026 14:00 UTC

FC CHELYABINSK vs NIZHNY NOVGOROD

Final 1:2 Almanac Moment

Nizhny Novgorod won Last goal: Nizhny Novgorod

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Vyacheslav Grulev (penalty) — Nizhny Novgorod
  2. ⚽ Matvey Urvantsev — FC Chelyabinsk
  3. ⚽ Timofey Komissarov — Nizhny Novgorod

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Nizhny Novgorod
90-minute result: Nizhny Novgorod
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
8%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 41% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 69 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 326 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 386 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 38 past matches

1X2 55% (Good)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
250 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
220 predictions
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
275 predictions
Total 2.5 36% (Weak)
149 predictions
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
319 predictions
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
362 predictions

Match overview