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Russia · First League

25 Jul 2026 16:00 UTC

TEKSTILSHCHIK vs SPARTAK KOSTROMA

Final 0:0

Draw

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Abdullo Dzhebov (2nd yellow) — Tekstilshchik
  2. 🟥 Nikolay Tarasov (2nd yellow) — Spartak Kostroma

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Tekstilshchik
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
14%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 47% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 38 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 326 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 386 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 37 past matches

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 68% (Strong)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
250 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
166 predictions
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
275 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
237 predictions
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
319 predictions
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
362 predictions

Match overview