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Mexico · Liga MX · Liga MX Apertura

26 Jul 2026 03:00 UTC

SANTOS LAGUNA vs ATLAS

Final 0:1

Atlas won Last goal: Atlas

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Edgar Zaldivar — Atlas

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Santos Laguna
90-minute result: Atlas
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 53% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 102 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 351 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 388 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 74 past matches

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
276 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
234 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
305 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
189 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
309 predictions
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
355 predictions

Match overview