← Back to matches

Mexico · Liga MX · Liga MX Apertura

22 Jul 2026 01:00 UTC

CRUZ AZUL vs PUEBLA

Final 2:1

Cruz Azul won Last goal: Cruz Azul

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Fernando Monarrez — Puebla
  2. ⚽ Luka Romero — Cruz Azul

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Christian Ebere — Cruz Azul

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Cruz Azul
90-minute result: Cruz Azul
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 65% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 17 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 346 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 386 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 88 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
274 predictions
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
153 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
303 predictions
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
187 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
308 predictions
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
353 predictions

Match overview