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Mexico · Liga MX · Liga MX Apertura

25 Jul 2026 03:00 UTC

ATLANTE vs CF AMERICA

Final 1:1 Almanac Moment

Draw Last goal: Atlante

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Cristián Borja — CF America

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Eugenio Pizzuto — Atlante

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 26% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 112 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 348 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 388 completed matches.

1X2 26% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 49 past matches

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 26% (Weak)
112 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
234 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
305 predictions
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
199 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
309 predictions
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
355 predictions

Match overview