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Mexico · Liga MX · Liga MX Apertura

26 Jul 2026 03:00 UTC

TIGRES vs ATLETICO DE SAN LUIS

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Atletico de San Luis

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Fernando Gorriarán — Tigres
  2. ⚽ Rafa Llorente — Atletico de San Luis

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Diego Sanchez — Tigres
  2. ⚽ David Rodríguez — Atletico de San Luis

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Tigres
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 53% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 102 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 351 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 388 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 85 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
276 predictions
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
154 predictions
Total 1.5 17% (Weak)
83 predictions
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
199 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
309 predictions
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
355 predictions

Match overview