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Mexico · Liga MX · Liga MX Apertura

18 Jul 2026 23:00 UTC

CLUB UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL vs PACHUCA

Final 0:3

Pachuca won Last goal: Pachuca

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Elías Montiel — Pachuca
  2. ⚽ Salomón Rondón — Pachuca

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Salomón Rondón — Pachuca

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Club Universidad Nacional
90-minute result: Pachuca
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 55% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 99 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 339 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 377 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 84 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
269 predictions
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
149 predictions
Total 1.5 18% (Weak)
80 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
191 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
299 predictions
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
344 predictions

Match overview