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Finland · Veikkausliiga

20 Jul 2026 16:00 UTC

IFK MARIEHAMN vs FC LAHTI

Final 0:2

FC Lahti won Last goal: FC Lahti

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Yohan Cassubie — FC Lahti

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Neemias Barbosa — FC Lahti

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
FC Lahti
90-minute result: FC Lahti
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
20%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
1:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 7 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 216 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 267 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
187 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
158 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
206 predictions
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
132 predictions
Total 3.5 39% (Weak)
67 predictions
Total 4.5 29% (Weak)
31 predictions

Match overview