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Finland · Veikkausliiga

20 Jul 2026 15:00 UTC

TPS vs ILVES

Final 1:3

Ilves won Last goal: Ilves

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Teemu Hytoenen — Ilves
  2. ⚽ Matej Hradecky — TPS
  3. ⚽ Oliver Pettersson — Ilves

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Teemu Hytoenen — Ilves
  2. 🟥 Oscar Haeggstroem (2nd yellow) — TPS

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
Ilves
90-minute result: Ilves
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
14%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 52 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 216 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 267 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
187 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
158 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
206 predictions
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
132 predictions
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
200 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
236 predictions

Match overview