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Finland · Veikkausliiga

24 Jul 2026 16:00 UTC

FF JARO vs SJK

Final 2:1 Almanac Moment

FF Jaro won Last goal: FF Jaro

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Herman Sjoegrell (penalty) — FF Jaro

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kelwin do Nascimento — SJK
  2. ⚽ Kaius Harden — FF Jaro

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
FF Jaro
90-minute result: FF Jaro
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
14%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 51% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 63 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 218 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 269 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 86 past matches

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 69% (Strong)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
189 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
160 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
208 predictions
Total 2.5 66% (Strong)
134 predictions
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
201 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
237 predictions

Match overview