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Finland · Veikkausliiga

18 Jul 2026 14:00 UTC

SJK vs KUPS

Final 0:2

KuPS won Last goal: KuPS

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jaime Moreno — KuPS
  2. ⚽ Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba — KuPS

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
KuPS
90-minute result: KuPS
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
20%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
12%
Score
2:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 21 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 212 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 263 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 89 past matches

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
184 predictions
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
156 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
203 predictions
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
131 predictions
Total 3.5 39% (Weak)
66 predictions
Total 4.5 30% (Weak)
30 predictions

Match overview