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Ecuador · Serie A

15 Jul 2026 00:00 UTC

MANTA vs DELFIN

Final 0:1

Delfin won Last goal: Delfin

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Franco Ayunta — Delfin

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Manta
90-minute result: Delfin
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 102 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 334 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 387 completed matches.

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 94 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 46% (Average)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 29% (Weak)
126 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
215 predictions
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
144 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
255 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
330 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
369 predictions

Match overview