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Ireland · First Division

10 Jul 2026 18:45 UTC

WEXFORD FC vs KERRY FC

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Wexford FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Kaylem Harnett — Wexford FC
  2. ⚽ Jonas Hakkinen — Kerry FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Sean McGrath — Kerry FC
  2. ⚽ Zak O'Sullivan — Wexford FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Kerry FC
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 21% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 38 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 210 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 249 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 94 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
190 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
114 predictions
Total 1.5 31% (Weak)
49 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
126 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
187 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
222 predictions

Match overview