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Ireland · First Division

03 Jul 2026 18:45 UTC

TREATY UNITED vs KERRY FC

Final 2:1

Treaty United won Last goal: Treaty United

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Cian Murphy — Kerry FC

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Matthew Connor (straight red) — Kerry FC
  2. ⚽ Jason Oyenuga — Treaty United
  3. ⚽ Robbie Lynch — Treaty United

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Treaty United
90-minute result: Treaty United
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 57% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 42 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 205 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 244 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 94 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
185 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
133 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
197 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
121 predictions
Total 3.5 30% (Weak)
61 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
217 predictions

Match overview