← Back to matches

Ireland · First Division

10 Jul 2026 18:45 UTC

CORK CITY vs LONGFORD TOWN

Final 3:4

Longford Town won Last goal: Longford Town

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Dean Williams (penalty) — Longford Town
  2. ⚽ Cillian Murphy — Cork City
  3. ⚽ Pharrell Manuel — Longford Town

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Joshua Fitzpatrick — Cork City
  2. ⚽ Cillian Murphy — Cork City
  3. ⚽ Darragh Murtagh — Longford Town
  4. ⚽ Stefan Ugbesia — Longford Town

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Cork City
90-minute result: Longford Town
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
31%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
5:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 210 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 249 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 67 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
190 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
114 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
200 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
123 predictions
Total 3.5 29% (Weak)
62 predictions
Total 4.5 11% (Weak)
27 predictions

Match overview