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Ireland · First Division

04 Jul 2026 18:30 UTC

LONGFORD TOWN vs UCD

Final 2:1

Longford Town won Last goal: Longford Town

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ciaran Behan — UCD

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Dean Williams — Longford Town
  2. ⚽ Darragh Murtagh — Longford Town

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
UCD
90-minute result: Longford Town
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 22% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 37 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 209 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 248 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 91 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
189 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
113 predictions
Total 1.5 31% (Weak)
48 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
125 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
186 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
221 predictions

Match overview