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Ireland · First Division

10 Jul 2026 18:45 UTC

FINN HARPS vs TREATY UNITED

Final 0:1

Treaty United won Last goal: Treaty United

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Colin Conroy — Treaty United

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Shaunie Bradley (straight red) — Finn Harps

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Treaty United
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 24% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 59 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 210 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 249 completed matches.

1X2 24% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 96 past matches

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 24% (Weak)
59 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
135 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
200 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
123 predictions
Total 3.5 29% (Weak)
62 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
222 predictions

Match overview