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Brazil · Serie B

06 Jul 2026 22:00 UTC

VILA NOVA vs SAO BERNARDO

Final 2:1

Vila Nova won Last goal: Vila Nova

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Marquinhos Gabriel — Vila Nova

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Hyoran — Sao Bernardo
  2. ⚽ Janderson — Vila Nova

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Vila Nova
90-minute result: Vila Nova
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
17%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 49% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 136 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 412 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 492 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 97% (Strong)
Score 17% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
310 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
271 predictions
Total 1.5 32% (Weak)
192 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
367 predictions
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
449 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
481 predictions

Match overview