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International · FIFA World Cup · World Cup Final Stage

04 Jul 2026 17:00 UTC

CANADA vs MOROCCO

Final 0:3

Top match Morocco won Last goal: Morocco

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Azzedine Ounahi · assist Achraf Hakimi — Morocco
  2. ⚽ Azzedine Ounahi · assist Brahim Díaz — Morocco
  3. ⚽ Soufiane Rahimi · assist Brahim Díaz — Morocco

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
48%
1X2
Morocco
90-minute result: Morocco
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
81%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
58%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
64%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Big miss
25%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 59% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 17 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 81 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 83 completed matches.

1X2 59% (Good)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 16% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 8 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 63% (Good)
Both teams to score 75% (Strong)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 25% (Strong)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 59% (Good)
70 predictions
Both teams to score 66% (Strong)
47 predictions
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
67 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
42 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
65 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
74 predictions

Match overview