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Iceland · Besta Deildin · Besta deildin

02 Jul 2026 17:00 UTC

THOR AKUREYRI vs KR REYKJAVIK

Final 3:3

Draw Last goal: KR Reykjavik

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Agust Hlynsson — Thor Akureyri
  2. ⚽ Einar Freyr Halldorsson — Thor Akureyri
  3. ⚽ Bjarni Gudjon Brynjolfsson — Thor Akureyri
  4. ⚽ Galdur Gudmundsson — KR Reykjavik

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Aron Sigurdarson (penalty) — KR Reykjavik
  2. ⚽ Gabriel Hrannar Eyjolfsson — KR Reykjavik

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
KR Reykjavik
90-minute result: Draw
Solid call
61%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
20%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
6%
Score
1:5

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 75% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-4; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 4 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 168 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 222 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 46% (Average)
Total 4.5 61% (Good)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 47 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 43% (Weak)
Total 4.5 49% (Average)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
188 predictions
Both teams to score 68% (Strong)
142 predictions
Total 1.5 88% (Strong)
189 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
147 predictions
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
81 predictions
Total 4.5 33% (Weak)
46 predictions

Match overview