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Iceland · Besta Deildin · Besta deildin

04 Jul 2026 14:00 UTC

IA AKRANES vs BREIDABLIK

Final 1:2

Breidablik won Last goal: Breidablik

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ S. Þorsteinsson — IA Akranes

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Agust Thorsteinsson — Breidablik
  2. ⚽ Willum Thór Willumsson — Breidablik

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
Breidablik
90-minute result: Breidablik
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
54%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
58%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 49 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 171 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 225 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 47% (Average)
Total 4.5 61% (Good)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 70 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
191 predictions
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
80 predictions
Total 1.5 27% (Weak)
33 predictions
Total 2.5 36% (Weak)
75 predictions
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
142 predictions
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
178 predictions

Match overview