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Ecuador · Serie A

05 Jul 2026 18:00 UTC

CSD MACARA vs LDU DE QUITO

Final 1:0

CSD Macara won Last goal: LDU de Quito

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Mateo Viera — CSD Macara

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
CSD Macara
90-minute result: CSD Macara
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Off target
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 48% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 46 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 319 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 374 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 95 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
255 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
204 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
237 predictions
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
242 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
317 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
356 predictions

Match overview