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Ecuador · Serie A

01 Jul 2026 22:00 UTC

LDU DE QUITO vs ORENSE

Final 3:0

LDU de Quito won Last goal: LDU de Quito

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Sixto Mina (own goal) — LDU de Quito

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Rodney Redes — LDU de Quito
  2. ⚽ Yerlin Quinonez — LDU de Quito

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: LDU de Quito
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 116 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 316 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 371 completed matches.

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 93 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 30% (Weak)
117 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
168 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
235 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
239 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
314 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
353 predictions

Match overview