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Ecuador · Serie A

04 Jul 2026 00:00 UTC

INDEPENDIENTE DEL VALLE vs MANTA

Final 4:0

Independiente del Valle won Last goal: Independiente del Valle

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Carlos González — Independiente del Valle

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ronald Briones — Independiente del Valle
  2. ⚽ Hugo Quintana — Independiente del Valle
  3. ⚽ Edwin Quintero — Independiente del Valle

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Manta
90-minute result: Independiente del Valle
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
70%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 57 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 317 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 371 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 90 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
254 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
168 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
235 predictions
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
132 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
314 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
353 predictions

Match overview