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International · FIFA World Cup · World Cup Final Stage

30 Jun 2026 21:00 UTC

FRANCE vs SWEDEN

Final 3:0

France won Last goal: France

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Kylian Mbappé · assist Ousmane Dembélé — France

2nd half

  1. Bradley Barcola · assist Michael Olise — France
  2. Kylian Mbappé · assist Michael Olise — France

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
On point
88%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
41%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
41%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
17%
Score
4:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 69 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 71 completed matches.

1X2 57% (Good)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 17% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 6 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 67% (Strong)
Both teams to score 67% (Strong)
Total 1.5 100% (Strong)
Total 2.5 33% (Weak)
Total 3.5 33% (Weak)
Total 4.5 50% (Average)
Score 17% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 57% (Good)
61 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
33 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
57 predictions
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
34 predictions
Total 3.5 46% (Average)
13 predictions
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
63 predictions

Match overview