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International · FIFA World Cup · World Cup Final Stage

02 Jul 2026 00:00 UTC

USA vs BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA

Final 2:0

Top match USA won Last goal: USA

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Folarin Balogun — USA

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Folarin Balogun (straight red) — USA
  2. ⚽ Malik Tillman — USA

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
48%
1X2
USA
90-minute result: USA
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
88%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
58%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
58%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
58%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
3:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 63% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 19 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 75 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 70 completed matches.

1X2 58% (Good)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 17% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 6 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 67% (Strong)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 58% (Good)
60 predictions
Both teams to score 66% (Strong)
38 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
56 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
33 predictions
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
58 predictions
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
63 predictions

Match overview