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International · FIFA World Cup · World Cup Final Stage

29 Jun 2026 20:30 UTC

GERMANY vs PARAGUAY

Final 1:1

Paraguay advanced Last goal: Paraguay

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Julio Enciso · assist Matías Galarza — Paraguay

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kai Havertz · assist Florian Wirtz — Germany

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
43%
1X2
Germany
90-minute result: Draw
Advanced: Paraguay
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
88%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
58%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
51%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
51%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
17%
Score
5:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 67 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 69 completed matches.

1X2 59% (Good)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 17% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 6 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 100% (Strong)
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 17% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 59% (Good)
59 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
32 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
55 predictions
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
32 predictions
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
11 predictions
Total 4.5 17% (Weak)
6 predictions

Match overview