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Estonia · Meistriliiga

21 Jun 2026 14:00 UTC

FLORA TALLINN vs PAIDE LINNAMEESKOND

Final 1:2

Paide Linnameeskond won Last goal: Paide Linnameeskond

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Danil Kuraksin — Flora Tallinn
  2. ⚽ Abdourahman Badamosi — Paide Linnameeskond

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Henri Anier (penalty) — Paide Linnameeskond

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
42%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Paide Linnameeskond
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 12% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 57 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 14% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 185 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 164 completed matches.

1X2 10% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 61 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 66% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 10% (Weak)
39 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
105 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
135 predictions
Total 2.5 36% (Weak)
73 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
115 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
140 predictions

Match overview