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Estonia · Meistriliiga

17 Jun 2026 16:00 UTC

NOMME JK KALJU vs TAMMEKA

Final 1:2

Tammeka won Last goal: Tammeka

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Enrique Esono — Nomme JK Kalju
  2. ⚽ Aleksandr Nikolajev (own goal) — Tammeka

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Maksim Podholjuzin (straight red) — Nomme JK Kalju
  2. 🟥 Danyl Mashchenko (straight red) — Nomme JK Kalju
  3. ⚽ Pedro Manoel — Tammeka

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Nomme JK Kalju
90-minute result: Tammeka
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
54%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
5%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
4:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 62% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 55 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 14% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 180 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 159 completed matches.

1X2 53% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 58 past matches

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 53% (Average)
121 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
101 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
130 predictions
Total 2.5 66% (Strong)
87 predictions
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
46 predictions
Total 4.5 18% (Weak)
22 predictions

Match overview