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Estonia · Meistriliiga

17 Jun 2026 16:00 UTC

PAIDE LINNAMEESKOND vs HARJU JALGPALLIKOOL

Final 1:0

Paide Linnameeskond won Last goal: Paide Linnameeskond

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Andres Jaerve (own goal) — Paide Linnameeskond

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
42%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Paide Linnameeskond
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Lucky hit
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 13% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 56 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 14% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 180 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 159 completed matches.

1X2 11% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 60 past matches

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 11% (Weak)
38 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
101 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
130 predictions
Total 2.5 35% (Weak)
72 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
113 predictions
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
137 predictions

Match overview