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Estonia · Meistriliiga

16 Jun 2026 16:00 UTC

FC KURESSAARE vs NARVA TRANS

Final 0:0

Draw

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
FC Kuressaare
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 63% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 54 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 13% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 178 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 157 completed matches.

1X2 53% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 62 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 53% (Average)
120 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
99 predictions
Total 1.5 84% (Strong)
128 predictions
Total 2.5 66% (Strong)
86 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
111 predictions
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
135 predictions

Match overview