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Estonia · Meistriliiga

20 Jun 2026 14:00 UTC

FCI LEVADIA vs NOMME JK KALJU

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Nomme JK Kalju

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Bubacarr Tambedou — FCI Levadia
  2. ⚽ Daniil Tarassenkov — Nomme JK Kalju

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
FCI Levadia
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 48% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 27 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 14% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 183 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 162 completed matches.

1X2 52% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 62 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 52% (Average)
123 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
104 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
133 predictions
Total 2.5 66% (Strong)
89 predictions
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
48 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
138 predictions

Match overview