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Lithuania · A Lyga

17 Jun 2026 15:30 UTC

HEGELMANN vs DZIUGAS TELSIAI

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Dziugas Telsiai

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Vilius Armanavicius — Hegelmann
  2. ⚽ Ronald Sobowale — Dziugas Telsiai

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Dziugas Telsiai
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 38 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 194 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 166 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 62 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
116 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
88 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
128 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
65 predictions
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
141 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
159 predictions

Match overview