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Lithuania · A Lyga

14 Jun 2026 11:15 UTC

HEGELMANN vs FK KAUNO ZALGIRIS

Last goal: Hegelmann

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Nosa Iyobosa Edokpolor — FK Kauno Zalgiris
  2. ⚽ Njoya Kader — Hegelmann

Model prediction

Weak
37%
1X2
Draw
Weak
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Good
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Risky
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Good
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Weak
11%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 69 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 192 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 162 completed matches.

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 62 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 35% (Weak)
48 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
86 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
126 predictions
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
97 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
137 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
155 predictions

Match preview